What changes through 2030, and why

How government work is changing

How tasks in government jobs change through 2030, which skills are growing, and which technologies drive the change. A qualitative, sourced reading with no automation percentages.

Try it: pick a job family

For each job family: what is automated, what tools augment, which new tasks emerge, and what stays human.

Job family

Moves from gathering and summarising information to testing options with data and weighing their consequences for beneficiaries.

Editorial estimate
  • Automated

    Routine tasks systems are likely to take over, with human review.

    Compiling references and international practice into a first summary

  • Augmented

    Tasks where the employee stays responsible and tools speed the work.

    Analysing data to support policy options

  • New

    New tasks the transformation itself creates.

    Checking generative AI output before it enters a policy paper

  • Stays human

    Tasks built on judgment, relationships and accountability.

    Balancing competing interests and proposing a compromise

Growing skills: Reading data and its limits (AI & Data), Digital legislation awareness (Policy & Governance), Storytelling with data (Leadership)

Every task, and what managers can do now, in the task-shift map

Pages in this section

Task-shift map

8 government job families: what is automated, augmented, new or stays human, and what managers can do now.

Skills for 2030

Demand direction for the eight domains through 2030: what grows, what shifts and what declines.