How government work is changing — 2026 to 2030

Skills for 2030

Where demand for the radar’s domains is heading (8), emerging micro-skills (15) and declining tasks (7). Every figure on this page links to its source, and every rating is declared editorial.

The global picture

  • 170 million

    million new jobs expected globally by 2030

  • 92 million

    million jobs expected to be displaced in the same period

  • 39%

    of workers’ existing skill sets are expected to be transformed or become outdated by 2030

  • 78 million

    million net new jobs expected, as projections create more than they displace

Survey-based expectations of employers worldwide, not a measurement of the Saudi public sector. Press a source badge to see its scope and period.

Where demand for each domain is heading to 2030

Each domain carries an editorial rating that combines named-source signals. Hover over a domain or reach it with the keyboard to see its signals and sources.

Show domains that are:
8 of 8 shown

A qualitative editorial direction with no numeric values; the lines show direction only, and the list beside it is the text alternative to the chart.

Domains

AI & Data

Rating: Growing stronglyEditorial rating

Every government entity now carries legal obligations for its data: the Personal Data Protection Law and SDAIA’s national strategy moved data literacy and responsible AI from a niche skill to a compliance requirement. The gap is widening between entities that build the capability in-house and those that rely on buying it.

Signals and their sources

  • AI and big data rank #1 among the fastest-growing skills to 2030.
  • Enrollments from Saudi Arabia in generative-AI courses on a global learning platform grew by about +165% in a year.
  • Globally, the same platform reports more than 45 enrollments per minute in generative-AI content, counted together with a second learning platform’s data.
  • The Personal Data Protection Law in force (2024) and SDAIA’s strategy make data governance a compliance requirement.
This domain’s skills in the registry

Emerging micro-skills to start this month

Not degree programmes: specific skills emerging inside existing jobs, each with a sourced demand signal and a practical first step.

15 of 15 shown

Prompt engineering

AI & Data

Structuring instructions to language models for accurate, repeatable outputs in work contexts.

Demand signal: It rides the generative-AI wave: more than 45 enrollments per minute worldwide across two learning platforms combined, and enrollments from Saudi Arabia up +165%.

In government work: Entity staff use approved language tools for drafting and summarizing; a well-built prompt is the difference between dependable output and a costly hallucination.

First step: A short applied course, then build a prompt library for your unit’s recurring tasks.

This domain’s skills in the registry

AI agent orchestration

Emerging Tech

Designing and supervising chains of AI agents executing multi-step tasks within clear permission boundaries.

Demand signal: AI-agent skills show growing demand on a global learning platform, and 86% of employers expect AI to transform their business.

In government work: Proactive services and cross-department case handling will rely on agents; entities need people who design permission boundaries and human checkpoints.

First step: Run one agent on a low-sensitivity internal task (such as meeting summaries) with a full human-review log.

This domain’s skills in the registry

AI output verification

AI & Data

Auditing generative-model output: spotting hallucination, checking sources, judging when confidence is unwarranted.

Demand signal: Critical-thinking enrollments grew +107% on a global learning platform, a sign of the need for verification skills.

In government work: An undetected error in an official letter or regulatory analysis costs more than in commercial work; verification is the last line of defence before any AI output is adopted.

First step: Adopt the rule “every AI output has a named human reviewer”, and train the team on hallucination checklists.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Data stewardship

AI & Data

Managing data quality, definitions, lineage and access rights for data as a documented institutional asset.

Demand signal: AI and big data rank #1 among the fastest-growing skills, and the Personal Data Protection Law requires named data owners inside entities.

In government work: Data exchange between entities stalls without documented definitions and quality; the data steward makes the entity’s data safely shareable.

First step: Start with a lean catalogue of your entity’s most important datasets: definition, owner, quality and sensitivity.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Digital identity management

Cloud & Infra

Designing and operating identity and access lifecycles (staff, beneficiaries, systems) across the national single sign-on.

Demand signal: The national single sign-on platform (Nafath) made digital identity shared operational infrastructure, and expanding digital services raise the need to manage it.

In government work: Every digital government service starts with “who is this party?”; sound identity management prevents fraud and shortens journeys.

First step: Review your entity’s current access grants (who holds which right) before any technical certificate.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Threat modeling

Cybersecurity

Systematic pre-build analysis of what could attack a system: assets, attackers, likely paths and mitigations.

Demand signal: Networks and cybersecurity rank #2 among the fastest-growing skills, and the National Cybersecurity Authority’s controls require security by design.

In government work: Government services are standing targets; early threat modeling is far cheaper than remediating a breach of a live service beneficiaries depend on.

First step: Learn one method (STRIDE) and apply it to one of your entity’s digital services in a half-day workshop.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Accessible content design

Service Design

Writing and designing digital content that reaches people with disabilities and older people: plain language, clear contrast, screen-reader support and sign interpretation where needed.

Demand signal: Digital government service standards include accessibility requirements, and mandating them is a documented direction in reference countries.

In government work: A government service must serve everyone; inaccessible content locks whole groups out of services they are entitled to.

First step: Test one service page with a screen reader, fix its most visible issues, then generalize the rule.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Digital twin operation

Emerging Tech

Operating and reading live digital replicas of physical assets (buildings, networks, cities) to simulate decisions before execution.

Demand signal: Digital twins are starting to appear in city and infrastructure projects (editorial reading), and 58% of employers expect autonomous systems to transform their business.

In government work: Municipalities and operators need people who can read a twin for maintenance and planning decisions, not only people who build one.

First step: Start with GIS fundamentals, then one twin tool on a single small asset.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Synthetic media literacy

Policy & Governance

Recognizing and verifying machine-generated content (deepfakes, generated voice), and understanding the limits of audio-visual evidence.

Demand signal: The spread of media-generation tools is a documented global trend, and it makes content verification a basic skill for every employee.

In government work: Fabricated rumours about services or officials spread faster than corrections; entities need fast, disciplined detection and response.

First step: Train the communications team on available deepfake-detection tools and on an escalation procedure for confirmed cases.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Climate-tech literacy

Emerging Tech

Enough understanding of renewables, storage, carbon capture and water efficiency to evaluate proposals and track indicators.

Demand signal: Environmental stewardship entered the top 10 fastest-growing skills for the first time, and the Kingdom’s target of about 50% of electricity from renewables by 2030 creates a government need.

In government work: Entities face sustainability reporting and green procurement; climate literacy turns compliance from paperwork into better decisions.

First step: Learn to read a simplified carbon-footprint report for one of your entity’s facilities.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Human-AI collaboration design

Service Design

Dividing work between people and models inside procedures: what is automated, what is augmented, what stays human, with review checkpoints designed in.

Demand signal: 77% of employers plan to reskill their workforce to work alongside AI.

In government work: Re-engineering service procedures around AI without designed checkpoints produces either risky automation or token use with no value.

First step: Map one procedure in your unit and classify each step: automate, augment or human work.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Privacy engineering

Cybersecurity

Translating data-protection requirements into technical design: minimization, masking, access rights and processing records.

Demand signal: The Personal Data Protection Law, in force since September 2024, makes privacy an engineering requirement, not only a legal one.

In government work: Entities process beneficiary data at scale; a privacy engineering error is both a legal breach and a loss of trust.

First step: Run a data-protection impact assessment (DPIA) on an existing system to learn the method by doing.

This domain’s skills in the registry

No-code automation

Agile Delivery

Building automated workflows (approvals, notifications, form wiring) with visual tools and no code, with governance that prevents automation sprawl.

Demand signal: AI-agent and automation skills show growing demand on a global learning platform, and no-code tools widen who inside a unit can automate.

In government work: Manual approval queues are among the quickest digital-transformation wins, but ungoverned automation creates shadow systems outside oversight.

First step: Automate one recurring paper procedure (such as an internal leave request) with your entity’s approved tool.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Geospatial analysis

Emerging Tech

Analyzing spatial data (maps, satellite imagery, administrative boundaries) to support planning and field-service decisions.

Demand signal: Earth observation, digital twins and the national space programme widen the need to read spatial data.

In government work: Municipal, transport and environmental decisions are spatial by nature; analysing “where” improves service distribution and gap detection.

First step: Start with an open mapping tool (QGIS) and plot one service’s beneficiary distribution.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Behavioural data ethics

Policy & Governance

Ethical judgment over behavioural-data use (interactions, patterns, behaviour prediction): consent, fairness and avoiding manipulation.

Demand signal: Responsible AI is a stated priority of the national data and AI strategy, and expanding government recommendation systems require documented ethical judgment.

In government work: A service that “predicts” beneficiary behaviour can improve with behavioural data or slide into discrimination and manipulation; the dividing line is a skill, not a statute alone.

First step: Read the nationally published AI ethics principles and apply their checklist to one project.

This domain’s skills in the registry

Tasks declining by 2030

The editorial rule: decline hits tasks more than jobs (ILO, 2025); each task shows what remains of it and a suggested shift.

TaskSignalWhat declines and what remainsSuggested shift
Manual data entryData-entry clerks rank #3 among the fastest-declining jobs worldwide, and clerical work tops the ILO exposure ranking for generative AI (Most exposed group).The task declines, not every job containing it: those who move to data-quality assurance stay in demand; the difference is between entering data and guaranteeing it.Short learning in data analysis and quality, then a move into data-quality assurance tasks inside the entity.
Generic (non-specialized) translationMachine translation and language models now cover routine translation at usable quality, and written-language tasks are among those most exposed to generative AI according to the ILO (2025).Legal, medical and conference interpreting stay human because of accountability; what declines is generic text, not the translation profession.Specialize (legal or technical) or move to post-editing machine translation: reviewing and signing off output instead of producing it.
Scripted first-line supportLanguage-model service assistants are among the clearest generative-AI deployments in live operation, and 86% of employers expect AI to transform their business.Demand moves to second-line support (complex cases) and beneficiary-experience management: prepared replies are automated; empathy in difficult cases is not.Beneficiary-experience management and complaint analysis: from answering complaints to preventing them.
Routine bookkeepingAccounting and bookkeeping clerks rank in the top 10 fastest-declining jobs, and e-invoicing in the Kingdom automates entries at the source.Accounting as a profession is shifting, not disappearing: analysis and compliance grow while manual entry shrinks.E-invoicing compliance and financial analysis for the entity, through short credentials available nationally.
Routine administrative and secretarial tasksAdministrative assistants and executive secretaries are among the largest declines in absolute numbers, and scheduling, minutes and template correspondence are among the first tasks language models automate.Those who run a leadership office (stakeholder coordination, confidentiality, judging priorities) stay; what declines is booking meetings and drafting template letters.Digital-transformation office management or project coordination: proximity to leadership plus a digital skill.
Template-based graphic productionGraphic designers sit just outside the top 10 fastest-declining jobs for the first time, and image-generation tools produce social and campaign templates in seconds.Strategic visual identity and user experience are growing; what declines is template execution, not design as thinking.User-experience design for Arabic-first government digital services.
First drafts and template reportsLanguage models produce good first drafts of reports and letters, routine writing tasks are among the most exposed according to the ILO (2025), and 40% of employers expect to reduce staff where tasks can be automated.Value moved from “writing the draft” to “owning accuracy, tone and accountability”: the editor who verifies and signs is worth more than the drafter.Editing and AI-output verification (a skill in the section above): from production to sign-off.